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Qual 112018 Greater Pittsburgh Regional
Red187
5077100.3
3955108.8
4991127.8
Blue392
4145175.1
117104.3
156163.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2363640100200300400500600187392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4991
#32
127.87.8
94.5→102.3
Auto17.0
Teleop90.1
End23.2
blue by 47.3
4145
#6
175.11.1
159.9→161.0
Auto20.9
Teleop129.4
End22.8
Second
3955
#44
108.810.0
91.5→101.4
Auto14.5
Teleop81.9
End14.0
blue by 54.4
156
#20
163.30.2
158.6→158.4
Auto19.8
Teleop114.0
End31.2
Third
5077
#52
100.39.8
74.8→84.6
Auto13.6
Teleop78.5
End8.0
blue by 4.0
117
#34
104.39.5
75.7→85.2
Auto15.4
Teleop81.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed