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Red401
4991127.8
4145175.1
5811140.2
Blue269
1787131.5
2252149.1
4049115.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354268100200300400500401269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.11.8
161.0162.7
Auto20.9
Teleop129.4
End22.8
red by 26.0
149.11.1
132.2133.4
Auto18.8
Teleop103.3
End31.0
Second
5811
#12
140.21.5
131.2132.7
Auto15.3
Teleop104.8
End18.9
red by 8.7
1787
#28
131.58.8
105.8114.7
Auto19.9
Teleop93.5
End19.3
Third
4991
#32
127.85.6
102.3107.9
Auto17.0
Teleop90.1
End23.2
red by 12.4
4049
#48
115.45.9
95.0100.9
Auto14.7
Teleop88.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed