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Red100
4991127.8
3511112.6
117104.3
Blue423
3492148.5
3061141.2
4027151.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643190100200400500100423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4991
#32
127.815.5
79.094.5
Auto17.0
Teleop90.1
End23.2
blue by 24.1
4027
#16
151.91.3
126.6127.9
Auto25.0
Teleop110.0
End18.3
Second
3511
#40
112.616.0
74.890.8
Auto17.5
Teleop80.5
End14.1
blue by 35.9
148.53.0
123.1126.0
Auto18.3
Teleop111.3
End23.3
Third
117
#34DQ
104.317.9
57.875.7
Auto15.4
Teleop81.6
End5.8
blue by 36.9
3061
#37
141.214.8
85.8100.6
Auto16.6
Teleop103.0
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed