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Red329
156163.3
7274124.9
4150124.2
Blue269
5842157.6
4050143.5
6947107.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29132902004006008001,000329269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#20
163.30.6
158.4159.0
Auto19.8
Teleop114.0
End31.2
red by 5.6
5842
#14
157.61.1
148.8149.9
Auto19.2
Teleop119.1
End18.4
Second
7274
#19
124.911.4
91.9103.3
Auto16.2
Teleop95.6
End11.0
blue by 18.6
4050
#31
143.57.0
121.0128.0
Auto17.2
Teleop104.7
End23.3
Third
4150
#29
124.29.5
95.6105.1
Auto16.4
Teleop92.7
End18.3
red by 17.0
6947
#41
107.16.7
87.393.9
Auto16.7
Teleop85.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed