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Red227
48140.3
3511112.6
6054126.7
Blue328
6032132.8
117104.3
4028180.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279335100200400500600227328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#25
140.30.6
139.6139.0
Auto22.5
Teleop107.3
End12.4
blue by 40.3
180.62.3
161.8164.0
Auto19.2
Teleop132.4
End31.3
Second
6054
#21
126.78.1
107.0115.1
Auto18.1
Teleop98.1
End11.7
blue by 6.2
6032
#35
132.81.4
128.1129.6
Auto14.5
Teleop104.2
End13.6
Third
3511
#40
112.67.4
98.9106.3
Auto17.5
Teleop80.5
End14.1
red by 8.3
117
#34
104.38.3
85.293.4
Auto15.4
Teleop81.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed