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Qual 272018 Greater Pittsburgh Regional
Red397
4150124.2
4145175.1
3171152.2
Blue172
7274124.9
4269106.5
2656124.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373260100200300400500600397172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#6
175.12.2
162.7→165.0
Auto20.9
Teleop129.4
End22.8
red by 50.2
7274
#19
124.98.8
103.3→112.1
Auto16.2
Teleop95.6
End11.0
Second
3171
#5
152.28.5
127.8→136.3
Auto16.8
Teleop115.0
End19.4
red by 28.0
2656
#33
124.26.4
109.8→116.2
Auto15.9
Teleop96.7
End9.6
Third
4150
#29
124.27.5
105.1→112.6
Auto16.4
Teleop92.7
End18.3
red by 17.7
4269
#47
106.54.0
120.0→124.1
Auto11.4
Teleop85.3
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed