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Red191
3061141.2
3062106.8
4049115.4
Blue427
945125.2
4028180.6
337127.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443540100200300400500191427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#37
141.26.5
123.9130.5
Auto16.6
Teleop103.0
End18.7
blue by 39.4
180.62.0
164.0166.0
Auto19.2
Teleop132.4
End31.3
Second
4049
#48
115.45.0
100.9105.9
Auto14.7
Teleop88.3
End7.8
blue by 12.5
337
#15
127.91.3
112.2113.5
Auto19.6
Teleop92.7
End14.9
Third
3062
#46
106.85.8
93.499.2
Auto15.3
Teleop84.4
End10.5
blue by 18.4
945
#26
125.20.3
121.5121.2
Auto16.5
Teleop96.8
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed