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Red472
303201.8
5472178.4
2656124.2
Blue181
2641118.2
2053115.9
3511112.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4461860100300400500600472181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#2
201.82.0
191.5193.5
Auto26.5
Teleop143.1
End32.6
red by 83.6
2641
#42
118.21.8
116.1117.9
Auto15.3
Teleop84.0
End19.6
Second
178.41.7
170.8172.5
Auto23.3
Teleop135.3
End18.6
red by 62.5
2053
#38
115.90.4
115.9115.5
Auto18.8
Teleop86.9
End10.8
Third
2656
#33
124.21.1
117.7118.7
Auto15.9
Teleop96.7
End9.6
red by 11.6
3511
#40
112.62.5
111.7114.1
Auto17.5
Teleop80.5
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed