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Red118
4269106.5
2051122.8
4930167.1
Blue390
6032132.8
4991127.8
4522173.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301344150200250400450118390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4930
#30
167.11.5
164.3165.8
Auto20.5
Teleop127.2
End17.2
blue by 6.5
4522
#10
173.61.5
164.9166.4
Auto22.1
Teleop126.5
End26.4
Second
2051
#43
122.83.7
119.6123.4
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.4
blue by 10.0
6032
#35
132.81.0
131.8132.8
Auto14.5
Teleop104.2
End13.6
Third
4269
#47
106.55.2
123.9118.7
Auto11.4
Teleop85.3
End9.8
blue by 21.3
4991
#32
127.82.1
117.4119.5
Auto17.0
Teleop90.1
End23.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed