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Red338
3954128.0
3504156.3
3957115.7
Blue288
4145175.1
337127.9
6054126.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276337150200250300400450338288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
#24
156.30.1
150.8150.7
Auto24.4
Teleop113.3
End18.7
blue by 18.8
175.12.0
167.3169.3
Auto20.9
Teleop129.4
End22.8
Second
3954
#11
128.01.7
132.8131.1
Auto18.7
Teleop96.0
End11.3
red by 0.1
337
#15
127.92.2
115.3117.5
Auto19.6
Teleop92.7
End14.9
Third
3957
#36
115.70.1
113.3113.4
Auto15.5
Teleop93.0
End5.9
blue by 10.9
6054
#21
126.71.6
120.9122.4
Auto18.1
Teleop98.1
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed