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Red408
1708131.4
4028180.6
1787131.5
Blue230
3955108.8
3504156.3
4050143.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307303200250350400450408230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.61.2
158.0159.1
Auto19.2
Teleop132.4
End31.3
red by 24.4
3504
#24
156.30.1
150.8150.9
Auto24.4
Teleop113.3
End18.7
Second
1787
#28
131.515.8
76.692.3
Auto19.9
Teleop93.5
End19.3
blue by 11.9
4050
#31
143.513.3
99.5112.8
Auto17.2
Teleop104.7
End23.3
Third
1708
#23
131.416.2
72.788.9
Auto15.8
Teleop105.6
End12.0
red by 22.5
3955
#44
108.815.9
75.691.5
Auto14.5
Teleop81.9
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed