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Red255
4547105.6
4991127.8
3260144.7
Blue371
6054126.7
217197.8
4467136.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603870100200300500600255371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3260
#13
144.70.6
139.7140.3
Auto16.5
Teleop108.3
End20.2
blue by 53.1
217
#3
197.81.7
192.7194.4
Auto19.6
Teleop145.5
End33.0
Second
4991
#32
127.82.7
119.5122.1
Auto17.0
Teleop90.1
End23.2
blue by 8.5
4467
#18
136.31.0
134.1135.1
Auto18.7
Teleop102.1
End14.6
Third
4547
#51
105.61.0
107.1106.0
Auto10.8
Teleop78.0
End17.5
blue by 21.1
6054
#21
126.72.0
122.4124.4
Auto18.1
Teleop98.1
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed