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Red275
4027151.9
6947107.1
1308113.3
Blue452
4145175.1
3492148.5
870158.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2264180100300500600275452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4027
#16
151.92.2
141.2143.4
Auto25.0
Teleop110.0
End18.3
blue by 23.2
175.11.9
169.3171.3
Auto20.9
Teleop129.4
End22.8
Second
1308
#22
113.34.0
102.8106.8
Auto15.4
Teleop86.4
End14.5
blue by 44.9
870
#9
158.22.1
151.1153.2
Auto20.1
Teleop111.2
End31.5
Third
6947
#41
107.11.1
102.9104.0
Auto16.7
Teleop85.7
End4.6
blue by 41.3
148.51.6
140.6142.2
Auto18.3
Teleop111.3
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsEarned