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Red252
6054126.7
156163.3
945125.2
Blue401
5472178.4
5740139.3
1308113.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3023620100200400500600700800252401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#20
163.31.0
162.3163.3
Auto19.8
Teleop114.0
End31.2
blue by 15.1
178.40.4
176.1176.4
Auto23.3
Teleop135.3
End18.6
Second
6054
#21
126.71.4
125.3126.7
Auto18.1
Teleop98.1
End11.7
blue by 12.6
5740
#27
139.30.7
138.1138.8
Auto19.1
Teleop99.0
End21.4
Third
945
#26
125.20.3
125.0125.2
Auto16.5
Teleop96.8
End12.4
red by 12.0
1308
#22
113.33.0
110.2113.3
Auto15.4
Teleop86.4
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed