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Red181
1708131.4
3957115.7
5740139.3
Blue290
5811140.2
4269106.5
4150124.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293274150200250350400450181290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5740
#27
139.30.1
137.0137.2
Auto19.1
Teleop99.0
End21.4
blue by 0.9
5811
#12
140.20.9
128.8129.7
Auto15.3
Teleop104.8
End18.9
Second
1708
#23
131.413.8
88.9102.7
Auto15.8
Teleop105.6
End12.0
red by 7.2
4150
#29
124.217.0
65.982.8
Auto16.4
Teleop92.7
End18.3
Third
3957
#36
115.716.3
72.288.5
Auto15.5
Teleop93.0
End5.9
red by 9.2
4269
#47
106.511.2
99.8111.0
Auto11.4
Teleop85.3
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed