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Red294
25203.1
6226127.7
203151.9
Blue422
1811126.7
2590236.4
5407169.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319395200600800294422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#3
203.10.4
201.2201.7
Auto25.3
Teleop158.4
End19.2
blue by 33.3
236.42.1
215.5217.6
Auto25.8
Teleop160.0
End51.1
Second
203
#24
151.90.1
161.7161.5
Auto19.8
Teleop114.9
End16.0
blue by 17.9
169.81.1
162.9163.9
Auto17.3
Teleop119.3
End34.9
Third
6226
#27
127.70.9
116.2117.0
Auto16.5
Teleop91.3
End22.5
red by 1.0
1811
#30
126.71.7
135.2133.5
Auto15.5
Teleop99.5
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned60%Face the Boss oddsEarned