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Red499
2577122.4
1640192.4
1218181.5
Blue295
5407169.8
6226127.7
5401135.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3882810100200500600700499295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.40.5
182.7183.2
Auto23.1
Teleop143.1
End26.7
red by 22.6
169.80.7
166.5167.2
Auto17.3
Teleop119.3
End34.9
Second
181.51.1
161.7162.8
Auto23.6
Teleop131.1
End28.1
red by 46.4
5401
#13
135.10.9
136.5135.6
Auto17.6
Teleop102.8
End15.0
Third
2577
#12
122.40.4
117.5117.9
Auto14.9
Teleop91.4
End18.1
blue by 5.3
6226
#27
127.70.2
119.0119.2
Auto16.5
Teleop91.3
End22.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsEarned