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Red392
5404162.0
5490101.0
5407169.8
Blue190
5401135.1
5457125.5
1807153.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3722860100200500600392190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.80.9
167.2168.1
Auto17.3
Teleop119.3
End34.9
red by 16.4
1807
#10
153.40.5
152.2151.7
Auto21.3
Teleop109.7
End19.6
Second
162.01.2
153.1154.3
Auto21.6
Teleop112.4
End29.7
red by 26.9
5401
#13
135.10.4
135.6135.3
Auto17.6
Teleop102.8
End15.0
Third
5490
#21
101.00.5
98.699.0
Auto14.6
Teleop81.0
End6.4
blue by 24.5
5457
#29
125.50.2
124.8125.0
Auto22.9
Teleop88.3
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed