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Red223
4285123.3
1647120.2
708174.7
Blue318
219141.9
6327126.9
203151.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346309100200400500600223318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#16
174.70.5
184.3183.8
Auto22.6
Teleop124.3
End28.3
red by 22.8
203
#24
151.91.8
160.2158.4
Auto19.8
Teleop114.9
End16.0
Second
4285
#31
123.30.1
129.1129.0
Auto18.4
Teleop94.6
End7.8
blue by 18.6
219
#17
141.90.9
138.2139.0
Auto21.4
Teleop108.6
End14.4
Third
1647
#28
120.21.1
117.9119.0
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End11.7
blue by 6.7
6327
#32
126.91.2
135.7134.5
Auto18.5
Teleop94.5
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed