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Red402
6226127.7
4285123.3
2590236.4
Blue309
203151.9
5457125.5
2559130.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402279100200500600700402309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236.40.9
227.3228.2
Auto25.8
Teleop160.0
End51.1
red by 84.5
203
#24
151.91.0
158.4157.4
Auto19.8
Teleop114.9
End16.0
Second
6226
#27
127.70.5
119.7120.3
Auto16.5
Teleop91.3
End22.5
blue by 2.5
2559
#18
130.20.6
130.1130.7
Auto18.8
Teleop94.1
End16.9
Third
4285
#31
123.31.1
129.0127.9
Auto18.4
Teleop94.6
End7.8
blue by 2.2
5457
#29
125.50.5
125.0124.5
Auto22.9
Teleop88.3
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
65%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed