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Red282
1391157.3
1647120.2
1807153.4
Blue220
816124.9
1257154.2
4454117.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359306100200400500600282220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.31.3
144.6145.9
Auto22.2
Teleop109.9
End28.1
red by 3.1
154.20.8
150.3151.1
Auto19.9
Teleop115.5
End17.0
Second
1807
#10DQ
153.40.5
152.4152.9
Auto21.3
Teleop109.7
End19.6
red by 28.5
816
#26
124.90.4
130.0130.4
Auto17.6
Teleop83.2
End23.5
Third
1647
#28
120.20.4
118.8118.5
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End11.7
red by 2.6
4454
#15
117.50.4
113.2112.8
Auto16.4
Teleop85.9
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed