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Red470
4454117.5
1218181.5
6226127.7
Blue172
5181136.4
6943110.6
4285123.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345283200400500600470172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.51.8
166.5168.3
Auto23.6
Teleop131.1
End28.1
red by 45.2
5181
#20
136.40.7
134.3134.9
Auto17.2
Teleop107.4
End10.3
Second
6226
#27
127.70.9
120.3121.2
Auto16.5
Teleop91.3
End22.5
red by 4.4
4285
#31
123.30.4
127.9127.5
Auto18.4
Teleop94.6
End7.8
Third
4454
#15
117.51.0
111.0112.0
Auto16.4
Teleop85.9
End17.5
red by 7.0
6943
#25
110.60.0
115.4115.4
Auto17.1
Teleop82.7
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed