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Red259
1257154.2
5404162.0
6226127.7
Blue296
2539144.5
1391157.3
5490101.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388282100200500600259296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.01.6
155.9157.5
Auto21.6
Teleop112.4
End29.7
red by 4.7
157.31.0
150.1151.2
Auto22.2
Teleop109.9
End28.1
Second
154.20.0
155.0155.1
Auto19.9
Teleop115.5
End17.0
red by 9.7
2539
#23
144.51.1
149.5148.4
Auto19.4
Teleop105.3
End21.8
Third
6226
#27
127.71.9
121.2123.0
Auto16.5
Teleop91.3
End22.5
red by 26.7
5490
#21
101.00.7
101.6102.3
Auto14.6
Teleop81.0
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed