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Red238
816124.9
1391157.3
2458121.8
Blue351
2559130.2
1647120.2
25203.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693900100200500600700238351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.30.9
151.2152.0
Auto22.2
Teleop109.9
End28.1
blue by 45.8
25
#3
203.10.6
202.1201.6
Auto25.3
Teleop158.4
End19.2
Second
816
#26
124.91.2
126.8125.6
Auto17.6
Teleop83.2
End23.5
blue by 5.3
2559
#18
130.20.5
131.0130.6
Auto18.8
Teleop94.1
End16.9
Third
2458
#19
121.81.3
118.4119.7
Auto19.2
Teleop88.4
End13.7
red by 1.7
1647
#28
120.20.3
119.2118.9
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed