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Red273
5181136.4
1143129.3
1807153.4
Blue378
1647120.2
1218181.5
5401135.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3063550100200400500600700800273378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#10
153.40.9
151.5152.4
Auto21.3
Teleop109.7
End19.6
blue by 28.1
181.51.7
172.5174.2
Auto23.6
Teleop131.1
End28.1
Second
5181
#20
136.40.2
135.2135.3
Auto17.2
Teleop107.4
End10.3
red by 1.3
5401
#13
135.10.1
134.0134.1
Auto17.6
Teleop102.8
End15.0
Third
1143
#22
129.30.6
128.2128.8
Auto18.0
Teleop100.2
End11.1
red by 9.1
1647
#28
120.20.6
118.5117.9
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed