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Red263
1143129.3
6327126.9
1647120.2
Blue413
2577122.4
4454117.5
2590236.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513990100200300500600700263413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1143
#22
129.30.3
127.7128.0
Auto18.0
Teleop100.2
End11.1
blue by 107.1
236.41.9
217.6219.5
Auto25.8
Teleop160.0
End51.1
Second
6327
#32
126.90.1
136.3136.4
Auto18.5
Teleop94.5
End12.2
red by 4.5
2577
#12
122.40.2
116.9116.7
Auto14.9
Teleop91.4
End18.1
Third
1647
#28
120.20.5
118.5118.0
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End11.7
red by 2.6
4454
#15
117.50.9
112.8112.0
Auto16.4
Teleop85.9
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed49%Face the Boss oddsEarned