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Red280
103141.9
316165.8
7110130.7
Blue431
2168177.9
225216.4
1168111.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643990100200300500600700280431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#7
165.80.3
165.6165.8
Auto18.8
Teleop132.8
End14.5
blue by 50.6
225
#2
216.40.3
216.1216.4
Auto29.0
Teleop158.0
End28.0
Second
103
#17
141.90.3
141.6141.9
Auto17.2
Teleop109.7
End15.5
blue by 36.0
177.90.2
177.7177.9
Auto21.5
Teleop142.4
End14.7
Third
7110
#14
130.70.3
130.4130.7
Auto17.6
Teleop97.9
End17.3
red by 19.1
1168
#16
111.60.2
111.3111.6
Auto17.9
Teleop84.7
End10.4