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Red414
4342176.9
5404149.5
321132.4
Blue371
3974142.4
433156.7
5181134.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373313200400500600414371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.90.1
176.1176.2
Auto28.2
Teleop123.9
End25.5
red by 20.2
433
#8
156.70.1
156.4156.5
Auto20.8
Teleop110.4
End24.5
Second
149.50.4
147.7148.0
Auto19.7
Teleop105.2
End26.4
red by 7.1
3974
#15
142.40.4
143.5143.1
Auto18.9
Teleop105.7
End17.3
Third
321
#29
132.40.1
131.6131.8
Auto14.1
Teleop101.1
End17.9
blue by 2.2
5181
#18
134.60.1
134.9134.8
Auto18.4
Teleop103.0
End10.8