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Red466
4342176.9
5404149.5
321132.4
Blue247
3974142.4
433156.7
5181134.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373319200400500600466247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.90.2
176.4176.5
Auto28.2
Teleop123.9
End25.5
red by 20.2
433
#8
156.70.1
156.6156.7
Auto20.8
Teleop110.4
End24.5
Second
149.50.4
148.4148.8
Auto19.7
Teleop105.2
End26.4
red by 7.1
3974
#15
142.40.3
142.7142.4
Auto18.9
Teleop105.7
End17.3
Third
321
#29
132.40.2
131.9132.1
Auto14.1
Teleop101.1
End17.9
blue by 2.2
5181
#18
134.60.1
134.7134.6
Auto18.4
Teleop103.0
End10.8