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Red68
8791.6
5895145.1
204103.7
Blue428
103141.9
709131.4
5404149.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239337010020030040050060070068428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#20
145.18.1
127.0135.1
Auto16.8
Teleop108.7
End19.6
blue by 4.5
149.56.9
118.0124.8
Auto19.7
Teleop105.2
End26.4
Second
204
#23
103.70.4
110.0109.6
Auto16.0
Teleop75.5
End9.3
blue by 38.2
103
#17
141.98.4
111.4119.8
Auto17.2
Teleop109.7
End15.5
Third
87
#31
91.62.8
90.192.9
Auto12.4
Teleop71.0
End9.5
blue by 39.8
709
#19
131.46.3
107.2113.5
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed