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Red279
4373127.0
321132.4
4454113.2
Blue294
3929155.6
2095101.1
423110.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2733190100200400500600700279294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#29
132.40.1
129.3129.2
Auto14.1
Teleop101.1
End17.9
blue by 23.2
155.61.7
146.4148.1
Auto19.9
Teleop118.9
End14.0
Second
4373
#27
127.00.3
125.2125.5
Auto16.2
Teleop88.5
End22.0
red by 16.4
423
#11
110.61.0
110.0111.0
Auto17.2
Teleop83.1
End11.6
Third
4454
#21
113.24.6
108.6113.2
Auto14.9
Teleop83.5
End16.7
red by 12.1
2095
#26
101.13.7
99.8103.5
Auto14.3
Teleop77.8
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed