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Red232
709131.4
4373127.0
2234116.1
Blue385
2559127.2
1495143.7
2539153.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793120100200400500232385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
709
#19
131.416.0
74.990.9
Auto16.6
Teleop94.5
End21.3
blue by 22.2
2539
#13
153.514.9
84.899.6
Auto20.0
Teleop111.1
End22.1
Second
4373
#27
127.00.1
125.7125.6
Auto16.2
Teleop88.5
End22.0
blue by 16.7
1495
#10
143.71.9
127.9129.8
Auto18.9
Teleop108.2
End14.2
Third
2234
#28
116.117.0
65.382.4
Auto17.6
Teleop85.8
End13.5
blue by 11.1
2559
#12
127.216.3
71.487.8
Auto16.4
Teleop93.6
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed