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Red371
5407162.9
2168177.9
2234116.1
Blue297
4454113.2
1807152.4
5895145.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3792580100200300500600371297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.92.1
170.2172.3
Auto21.5
Teleop142.4
End14.7
red by 25.5
1807
#24
152.41.1
150.0151.2
Auto20.8
Teleop107.1
End25.6
Second
162.91.8
154.5156.4
Auto19.1
Teleop115.7
End32.0
red by 17.8
5895
#20
145.10.2
144.5144.7
Auto16.8
Teleop108.7
End19.6
Third
2234
#28
116.10.8
114.5115.3
Auto17.6
Teleop85.8
End13.5
red by 2.9
4454
#21
113.20.1
113.0112.8
Auto14.9
Teleop83.5
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed