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Red300
190120.2
7110130.7
2168177.9
Blue245
2559127.2
1168111.6
2095101.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3751990100300500600700300245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.91.9
172.3174.2
Auto21.5
Teleop142.4
End14.7
red by 50.7
2559
#12
127.20.4
125.2125.5
Auto16.4
Teleop93.6
End17.4
Second
7110
#14
130.70.6
126.3126.9
Auto17.6
Teleop97.9
End17.3
red by 19.1
1168
#16
111.60.4
108.7109.1
Auto17.9
Teleop84.7
End10.4
Third
190
#22
120.21.1
121.4120.3
Auto18.0
Teleop91.3
End13.4
red by 19.1
2095
#26
101.10.4
101.5101.1
Auto14.3
Teleop77.8
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed