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Red415
225229.0
321138.3
1676165.9
Blue223
103159.3
1391182.1
3314176.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38634902006008001,000415223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
229.00.0
229.0229.0
Auto24.7
Teleop174.0
End34.2
red by 46.9
1391
#27
182.10.0
182.1182.1
Auto21.7
Teleop129.5
End30.6
Second
1676
#21
165.90.0
165.9165.9
Auto17.6
Teleop121.2
End30.1
blue by 10.2
3314
#32
176.20.0
176.2176.2
Auto22.5
Teleop126.1
End27.3
Third
321
#25
138.30.0
138.3138.3
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End12.9
blue by 21.0
103
#33
159.30.0
159.3159.3
Auto18.4
Teleop130.2
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest odds95%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
70%Face the Boss odds62%Face the Boss odds