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Red152
293141.7
341182.7
423110.6
Blue410
11128.1
1640191.0
5404158.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29936402006008001,000152410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#15
182.70.0
182.7182.7
Auto22.2
Teleop132.5
End29.9
blue by 8.3
191.00.0
191.0191.0
Auto22.0
Teleop143.8
End23.9
Second
293
#34
141.70.0
141.7141.7
Auto17.1
Teleop110.9
End13.9
blue by 16.2
5404
#16
158.00.0
158.0158.0
Auto20.9
Teleop114.1
End21.3
Third
423
#30
110.60.0
110.6110.6
Auto17.2
Teleop83.1
End11.6
blue by 17.4
11
#29
128.10.0
128.1128.1
Auto16.8
Teleop98.7
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest odds84%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss odds19%Face the Boss odds