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Red311
708171.9
2539148.5
1218179.2
Blue293
4750124.8
293141.7
4361157.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4222700100200500600700800311293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.20.0
179.2179.2
Auto19.8
Teleop131.0
End30.0
red by 22.2
4361
#10
157.00.0
157.0157.0
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End17.8
Second
708
#2
171.90.0
171.9171.9
Auto20.2
Teleop126.7
End25.6
red by 30.2
293
#34
141.70.0
141.7141.7
Auto17.1
Teleop110.9
End13.9
Third
148.50.0
148.5148.5
Auto18.5
Teleop106.8
End26.7
red by 23.6
4750
#31
124.80.0
124.8124.8
Auto16.6
Teleop92.9
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest odds56%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
77%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds