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Red264
2016150.0
103159.3
5401126.2
Blue463
4027162.1
1640191.0
834181.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2574320100200300500600700264463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#33
159.30.0
159.3159.3
Auto18.4
Teleop130.2
End11.3
blue by 31.8
191.00.0
191.0191.0
Auto22.0
Teleop143.8
End23.9
Second
2016
#22
150.00.0
150.0150.0
Auto23.2
Teleop115.3
End9.0
blue by 31.9
834
#14
181.90.0
181.9181.9
Auto20.6
Teleop136.8
End25.6
Third
5401
#12
126.20.0
126.2126.2
Auto16.4
Teleop98.9
End10.0
blue by 35.9
162.10.0
162.1162.1
Auto25.4
Teleop122.6
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest odds92%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds25%Face the Boss odds