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Red196
1676165.9
11128.1
6897113.7
Blue247
6808117.6
708171.9
2016150.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29939002006008001,000196247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#21
165.90.0
165.9165.9
Auto17.6
Teleop121.2
End30.1
blue by 6.0
708
#2
171.90.0
171.9171.9
Auto20.2
Teleop126.7
End25.6
Second
11
#29
128.10.0
128.1128.1
Auto16.8
Teleop98.7
End15.8
blue by 22.0
2016
#22
150.00.0
150.0150.0
Auto23.2
Teleop115.3
End9.0
Third
6897
#36
113.70.0
113.7113.7
Auto19.0
Teleop80.6
End15.0
blue by 3.9
117.60.0
117.6117.6
Auto18.2
Teleop87.3
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest odds76%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss odds6%Face the Boss odds