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Red366
341143.4
1640177.4
4373125.7
Blue207
2729146.1
3929142.9
1391132.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360307100200400500600366207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.40.8
173.5174.3
Auto22.5
Teleop132.6
End22.2
red by 31.3
146.10.0
146.3146.3
Auto26.2
Teleop107.9
End10.2
Second
341
#23
143.40.3
142.1142.4
Auto15.4
Teleop110.7
End16.4
red by 0.5
142.90.5
141.6142.1
Auto19.7
Teleop107.1
End15.2
Third
4373
#18
125.70.4
124.0124.4
Auto16.4
Teleop91.9
End20.1
blue by 6.8
1391
#24
132.50.2
131.9132.2
Auto21.0
Teleop97.9
End13.9