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Red360
341143.4
1640177.4
4373125.7
Blue129
2729146.1
3929142.9
1391132.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359305100200400500600360129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.40.7
175.1175.8
Auto22.5
Teleop132.6
End22.2
red by 31.3
146.10.0
146.2146.1
Auto26.2
Teleop107.9
End10.2
Second
341
#23
143.40.2
142.7142.9
Auto15.4
Teleop110.7
End16.4
red by 0.5
142.90.4
142.5142.9
Auto19.7
Teleop107.1
End15.2
Third
4373
#18
125.70.3
124.7125.0
Auto16.4
Teleop91.9
End20.1
blue by 6.8
1391
#24
132.50.2
132.3132.5
Auto21.0
Teleop97.9
End13.9