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Red214
4954126.9
1370114.4
5407150.4
Blue339
433144.7
834169.8
4373125.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972910100200400500600700214339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.414.6
87.3101.9
Auto18.5
Teleop113.8
End18.4
blue by 19.4
834
#1
169.813.3
99.2112.5
Auto18.9
Teleop123.9
End31.2
Second
4954
#32
126.914.0
92.9106.9
Auto16.9
Teleop95.6
End12.6
blue by 17.8
433
#13
144.714.8
85.3100.1
Auto20.1
Teleop106.2
End21.3
Third
1370
#33
114.415.4
79.995.3
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End14.4
blue by 11.3
4373
#18
125.716.4
70.787.2
Auto16.4
Teleop91.9
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed