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Red353
702495.4
365169.7
1279142.5
Blue242
423110.0
4342155.6
3151117.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297314150200250350400450500550353242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#2
169.74.3
135.1139.4
Auto22.7
Teleop132.1
End12.3
red by 14.1
155.66.2
136.2142.4
Auto23.7
Teleop112.9
End21.4
Second
1279
#28
142.54.8
133.9138.6
Auto19.7
Teleop107.7
End16.4
red by 24.9
3151
#37
117.53.0
109.2112.2
Auto19.9
Teleop88.5
End9.7
Third
7024
#39
95.41.7
91.192.8
Auto13.8
Teleop73.7
End9.1
blue by 14.7
423
#36
110.06.0
120.7126.7
Auto16.6
Teleop86.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed