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Red378
5420142.8
1495127.9
2607158.3
Blue155
5684126.9
204111.5
2180142.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310302200250350400378155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#10
158.34.8
122.6127.4
Auto17.3
Teleop117.5
End25.9
red by 16.1
2180
#21
142.26.3
128.4134.7
Auto19.3
Teleop100.9
End21.3
Second
5420
#12
142.85.8
126.8132.6
Auto14.0
Teleop107.9
End21.8
red by 15.9
5684
#26
126.93.3
118.5121.9
Auto19.2
Teleop90.1
End19.7
Third
1495
#22
127.92.6
108.6111.2
Auto16.5
Teleop95.5
End19.6
red by 16.4
204
#34
111.50.5
107.6108.2
Auto15.7
Teleop87.8
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed