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Red333
4373125.7
3929142.9
203146.6
Blue219
403596.3
1279142.5
3151117.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334247100200300400500333219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#20
146.63.8
128.5132.3
Auto20.7
Teleop112.1
End17.3
red by 4.1
1279
#28
142.54.3
138.6143.0
Auto19.7
Teleop107.7
End16.4
Second
142.94.4
128.7133.1
Auto19.7
Teleop107.1
End15.2
red by 25.4
3151
#37
117.50.3
112.2112.6
Auto19.9
Teleop88.5
End9.7
Third
4373
#18
125.73.5
111.8115.2
Auto16.4
Teleop91.9
End20.1
red by 29.3
4035
#40
96.31.7
102.2103.9
Auto11.4
Teleop81.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed