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Red419
1640177.4
3151117.5
433144.7
Blue230
5113109.7
2191140.2
4373125.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339280100200400500419230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.44.6
154.3159.0
Auto22.5
Teleop132.6
End22.2
red by 37.2
2191
#15
140.24.1
140.9145.0
Auto18.0
Teleop106.2
End16.4
Second
433
#13
144.72.0
134.9136.9
Auto20.1
Teleop106.2
End21.3
red by 19.0
4373
#18
125.73.3
115.2118.5
Auto16.4
Teleop91.9
End20.1
Third
3151
#37
117.50.7
112.6113.2
Auto19.9
Teleop88.5
End9.7
red by 7.8
5113
#27
109.71.4
113.7112.3
Auto18.9
Teleop83.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed