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Red321
486140.5
5420142.8
834169.8
Blue289
1370114.4
1712154.2
3929142.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374259100200300400500600321289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#1
169.83.8
157.9161.7
Auto18.9
Teleop123.9
End31.2
red by 15.6
154.20.3
146.9147.2
Auto25.6
Teleop116.2
End10.4
Second
5420
#12
142.81.0
142.0143.1
Auto14.0
Teleop107.9
End21.8
blue by 0.1
142.91.1
137.2138.3
Auto19.7
Teleop107.1
End15.2
Third
486
#14
140.51.1
137.1138.2
Auto19.7
Teleop109.6
End14.8
red by 26.1
1370
#33
114.41.3
110.1111.4
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed