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Red280
1712154.2
666793.2
1168103.7
Blue138
702495.4
4373125.7
4954126.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25929250100150200350400450280138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.21.4
148.0149.5
Auto25.6
Teleop116.2
End10.4
red by 27.3
4954
#32
126.90.5
129.9129.5
Auto16.9
Teleop95.6
End12.6
Second
1168
#31
103.70.8
104.8104.0
Auto14.3
Teleop84.5
End3.4
blue by 22.0
4373
#18
125.71.6
121.8123.4
Auto16.4
Teleop91.9
End20.1
Third
6667
#38
93.22.9
97.794.9
Auto14.6
Teleop72.5
End2.8
blue by 2.1
7024
#39
95.41.7
98.596.8
Auto13.8
Teleop73.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed