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Red309
1370114.4
433144.7
5420142.8
Blue279
3151117.5
2729146.1
747143.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306310200250350400309279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
433
#13
144.70.2
143.3143.5
Auto20.1
Teleop106.2
End21.3
blue by 1.4
146.11.2
148.4147.2
Auto26.2
Teleop107.9
End10.2
Second
5420
#12
142.80.1
141.9142.0
Auto14.0
Teleop107.9
End21.8
blue by 0.2
747
#16
143.02.6
137.0139.6
Auto16.6
Teleop109.5
End17.9
Third
1370
#33
114.40.7
112.8113.4
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End14.4
blue by 3.1
3151
#37
117.51.0
115.9116.9
Auto19.9
Teleop88.5
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed