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Red386
403596.3
2607158.3
272146.1
Blue245
5113109.7
5420142.8
3151117.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330285100200400500600386245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#10
158.34.3
147.8152.0
Auto17.3
Teleop117.5
End25.9
red by 15.5
5420
#12
142.80.6
142.0142.5
Auto14.0
Teleop107.9
End21.8
Second
272
#11
146.12.6
141.3143.9
Auto18.0
Teleop99.3
End34.2
red by 28.6
3151
#37
117.50.6
116.9117.5
Auto19.9
Teleop88.5
End9.7
Third
4035
#40
96.32.2
99.397.1
Auto11.4
Teleop81.9
End4.1
blue by 13.4
5113
#27
109.70.3
109.7110.0
Auto18.9
Teleop83.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed